Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.178434 0.201236 0.225275 0.252452 0.282267 0.313922 0.350017
2025-05-18 0.151786 0.183194 0.218109 0.259607 0.307382 0.360453 0.423651
2025-05-25 0.127738 0.163774 0.205750 0.257842 0.320311 0.392359 0.481250
2025-06-01 0.109848 0.148807 0.196138 0.257162 0.332987 0.423292 0.538090
2025-06-08 0.095562 0.136256 0.187648 0.256244 0.344217 0.451996 0.592613
2025-06-15 0.086519 0.129183 0.184956 0.261700 0.362863 0.489839 0.659192
2025-06-22 0.077048 0.120355 0.178898 0.261838 0.374043 0.518107 0.714213
2025-06-29 0.068939 0.112455 0.173189 0.261619 0.384172 0.544832 0.767634
2025-07-06 0.062000 0.105448 0.167967 0.261379 0.393785 0.570740 0.820365
2025-07-13 0.056867 0.100565 0.165246 0.264202 0.407364 0.602036 0.880872
2025-07-20 0.053443 0.097939 0.165511 0.271114 0.426693 0.641511 0.953343
2025-07-27 0.049113 0.093407 0.162481 0.272806 0.438367 0.670520 1.012060
2025-08-03 0.045706 0.090213 0.161466 0.277730 0.455365 0.708185 1.084945
2025-08-10 0.043260 0.088398 0.162448 0.285673 0.477053 0.753138 1.169363
2025-08-17 0.039100 0.083149 0.157452 0.283877 0.483864 0.776732 1.223960
2025-08-24 0.035593 0.078694 0.153385 0.283202 0.492169 0.802553 1.282269
2025-08-31 0.032401 0.074473 0.149353 0.282241 0.499809 0.827422 1.339652
2025-09-07 0.030623 0.072776 0.149529 0.288166 0.518399 0.869068 1.422632
2025-09-14 0.028132 0.069393 0.146439 0.288325 0.527636 0.896667 1.485279
2025-09-21 0.025822 0.066117 0.143271 0.288094 0.536093 0.923153 1.546738
2025-09-28 0.023723 0.063044 0.140226 0.287837 0.544372 0.949442 1.608377
2025-10-05 0.022213 0.061081 0.139115 0.290895 0.558189 0.984653 1.684358
2025-10-12 0.021328 0.060417 0.140444 0.298375 0.579663 1.032433 1.780711